Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.189602 0.201818 0.214606 0.229026 0.244874 0.261807 0.281328
2025-04-27 0.169075 0.188121 0.209387 0.235080 0.265537 0.300815 0.345255
2025-05-04 0.152870 0.175630 0.202275 0.236209 0.278921 0.331816 0.403783
2025-05-11 0.139857 0.164609 0.194656 0.234538 0.287240 0.356268 0.456736
2025-05-18 0.129410 0.155273 0.187598 0.231991 0.293110 0.377159 0.507154
2025-05-25 0.119809 0.145960 0.179414 0.226648 0.293928 0.390368 0.547708
2025-06-01 0.112596 0.139048 0.173602 0.223635 0.297192 0.406860 0.595379
2025-06-08 0.106683 0.133351 0.168848 0.221442 0.301060 0.424268 0.647112
2025-06-15 0.103265 0.130711 0.167966 0.224524 0.312881 0.455325 0.728239
2025-06-22 0.097726 0.124788 0.162030 0.219553 0.311478 0.464194 0.769802
2025-06-29 0.091896 0.118136 0.154632 0.211768 0.304720 0.462895 0.790888
2025-07-06 0.087124 0.112737 0.148732 0.205832 0.300387 0.465222 0.819718
2025-07-13 0.084754 0.110729 0.147794 0.207757 0.309740 0.494217 0.914345
2025-07-20 0.082943 0.109451 0.147886 0.211373 0.322491 0.531811 1.040535
2025-07-27 0.080469 0.107069 0.146155 0.211859 0.329709 0.559706 1.152447
2025-08-03 0.077692 0.104098 0.143336 0.210290 0.332947 0.579885 1.251022
2025-08-10 0.074974 0.101085 0.140279 0.208069 0.334690 0.597092 1.347510
2025-08-17 0.071918 0.097430 0.136025 0.203482 0.331405 0.602666 1.411227
2025-08-24 0.069503 0.094655 0.133033 0.200896 0.331789 0.616661 1.507623
2025-08-31 0.067397 0.092267 0.130541 0.199013 0.333367 0.633683 1.621787
2025-09-07 0.066358 0.091480 0.130586 0.201657 0.344409 0.675537 1.847214
2025-09-14 0.064007 0.088552 0.126982 0.197391 0.340536 0.679100 1.925233
2025-09-21 0.061306 0.084991 0.122201 0.190698 0.330956 0.666556 1.931615